Sonstiges

Schweizer Inflation wird massiv unterschätzt

Seit der Finanzkrise 2008 sinken laut offiziellen Statistiken die Konsumentenpreise in der Schweiz (LIK) ständig, obwohl das Gefühl der Konsumenten genau das Gegenteil sagt. Die Diskrepanz zwischen offizieller Messung und gefühlter Wahrnehmung hat verschiedene Ursachen. Einer dieser Ursachen liegt in der Definition, wie die Inflation gemessen wird. Wir haben einen alternativen Inflationsindex (1983 - 2020) [...]

Coronavirus Masks the Real Causes

The Coronavirus is only the trigger It is February, and the US yield curve has inverted once more. For those who don’t know, an inversion of the yield curve is considered a reliable signal of a recession within the next 6 – 18 months. As the yield curve has already inverted in summer 2019, a [...]

Corona Virus Triggers Global Recession

Complacency Over Coronavirus While China is taking unprecedented measures to contain the corona virus, markets are too complacent over the severity of the corona virus outbreak. Albeit the new nCoV-2019 coronavirus is not as deadly as SARS, it is meanwhile more widespread than SARS and the implications for global economy might be much more disastrous. [...]